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World Cup bitcoin betting Golden Boot

When Ronaldo scored eight goals and Brazil lifted the World Cup in 2002 it was the only time that combination has happened since Paolo Rossi helped Italy to success in 1982. It appears that winning the event is not correlated to goals contribution from a single potent striker.

What’s more, the last two winners – James Rodriguez in 2014 and Thomas Muller in 2010 – weren’t even strikers for Colombia and Germany respectively. This unexpected pattern is the result of the Golden Boot winner usually needs to score just five or six goals, meaning a hat-trick in the group stages or a couple of braces against lower teams makes all the difference.

The Golden Boot winner usually needs to score just five or six goals, meaning a hat-trick in the group stages or a couple of braces against lower teams makes all the difference.

Assists also play their part as a means of separating players who have scored an equal number. David Villa, Spain’s main striker when they won the 2010 World Cup, missed out on the accolade because Thomas Muller had also scored five goals but bagged three assists as well.

The best approach is still to look at the main strikers of the top nations, as well as the quality of their opposition in the Group Stage and - a part that is overlooked – when they play them. If, for example, you think Muller might repeat his heroics, bear in mind that Germany face their weakest Group opponents – South Korea - in their third game by which time they could already have six points and opt to rest him.

Add extra weight to those players that take penalties, but be aware that goals from penalty shoot-outs do not count towards the Golden Boot tally. And don’t forget the 3rd/4th place consolation game, the forgotten game of the tournament, that often produces a lot of goals and can tip the balance.

With that in mind, here is a rundown of the main contenders.

Neymar - 8.8

Great things are expected of Brazil’s biggest star, but an injury means Neymar is unlikely to be in peak condition for Russia, plus Brazil coach, Tite, has recently moved the Paris Saint-Germain forward into a left-wing position. Roberto Firmino or Gabriel Jesus will play as the central striker, meaning both players are probably more likely to score goals.

An easy group, in which Switzerland, Costa Rica, and Serbia are all vulnerable defensively, means any one of these three could race to the top of the scorer charts before we reach the knockout stages. Firmino at 43.0 or Jesus at 17.7 may offer more value than Neymar at this time, although it might be worth waiting until after the pre-tournament friendlies, at which point it will be clearer which of the Liverpool or Manchester City forwards get the nod.

As mentioned above, bear in mind that Neymar could well be rested if Brazil take six points from their first two games.

Lionel Messi - 10.4

The pressure on Messi is immense, but that didn’t stop him from performing well in 2014. The Barcelona man scored four goals in Brazil despite his side only scoring eight goals overall and generally looking sluggish in the knockout stages. This time, with Jorge Sampaoli preaching frenzied attacking football, he should have plenty of opportunities to leave an even bigger mark.

Playing on the world’s biggest should be motivation enough for Messi, but the likelihood that this will be his last World Cup is also relevant.

Messi only scored seven goals in qualifying but this was still enough to finish top of the pile, plus his form improved as the tournament progressed. Barca’s lack of competitive football towards the end of this season means he should be fresh, making Leo a good candidate to win the Golden Boot in Russia. 

Playing on the world’s biggest should be motivation enough for Messi, but the likelihood that this will be his last World Cup is also relevant.

Cristiano Ronaldo - 13.7

Portugal’s cagey defensive style of football means goals are few and far between for Ronaldo. Everything funnels through the Real Madrid forward, and since he is happy to shoot from any distance it would be a huge shock if he was not Portugal’s top goalscorer – you can back him at [odds].

The problem is, his nation is unlikely to get beyond the quarter-final stage, a persistent issue at the World Cup that is reflected in Ronaldo’s record to date. He has only ever scored three World Cup goals, one in each of 2006, 2010, and 2014.

Antoine Griezmann – 10.4

France don’t have a main goalscorer in their ranks and are much more likely to spread their goals out evenly. However, if one player comes to the fore it should be Atletico Madrid’s Griezmann, who plays in a more advanced striker role for the national team.

He did not score during his World Cup debut in 2014 but won the Golden Boot at Euro 2016 with six goals. That record alone makes him worth backing, even though Didier Deschamps’ poor management means this talented squad might not make it as far as the semi-finals. Griezmann could conceivably get to five goals from what look like reasonably straight-forward  group matches against Australia, Denmark, and Peru.

Timo Werner  - 13.2

RB Leipzig’s Timo Werner has scored seven goals in his first 12 Germany caps, arriving on the scene at just the right time for a nation lacking a natural goalscorer. There is every chance he will start up front this summer, beating Thomas Muller to a starting place, making him the most likely player to finish off the ample opportunities Germany are expected to produce should they be at their flowing best.

Germany’s first five games are likely to be against Mexico, Sweden, South Korea, Switzerland and England. All five are winnable and all five will surely bring goals 

Germany’s first five games are likely to be against Mexico, Sweden, South Korea, Switzerland and England. All five are winnable and all five will surely bring goals for the 22-year-old. With Mesut Ozil and Leroy Sane creating the chances, Werner offers decent value.

Harry Kane - 16.7

It would take something very special for Harry Kane to finish as top goalscorer. The Tottenham Hotspur star already looks tired after a long campaign in the Premier League and suffered an injury in April that ended a hot streak of scoring. More importantly, England’s style of football isn’t likely to bring goals.

Gareth Southgate has increasingly been using a deep-lying counter-attacking strategy when playing strong nations; there has been a grand total of five goals in the last six England matches. Kane will probably be largely frustrated against Panama and Tunisia, and if the Three Lions qualify they have to break their habit of early elimination in the early knockout rounds for the Spurs’ talisman to stand any chance of Golden Boot

Romelu Lukaku - 17.7

The Manchester United striker notoriously blows hot and cold, but then again his excellent record against smaller teams at club level could reasonably seem him notch four or five in the group stages alone. With Kevin de Bruyne and Eden Hazard delivering crosses into the box it is easy to envisage Romelu Lukaku scoring two or more goals against Panama and Tunisia.

The problem for Lukaku is to maintain a rich vein of goalscoring form throughout the six-week tournament, against opposition of most greater quality; something in his career to date he has failed to do.

Diego Costa - 19.8

Aided by Alvaro Morata’s poor form in the Premier League, Atletico Madrid’s Diego Costa has become Spain’s first-choice striker again. The Spanish have a devilishly tricky group however, meaning goals might be a rarity for the 2010 winners; Portugal, Morocco, and Iran won’t give Costa any space.

What’s more, Spain’s brand of possession football tends to favour low-scoring matches, plus Isco and Marco Asensio have been getting in on the action recently. Spain are unlikely to have one outstanding goalscorer, but should La Roja find their stride it is reasonable to assume that Costa would be among the goals.

World Cup Golden Boot bitcoin betting is a great way of having an interest across the whole World Cup tournament, but it can be frustrating in that it appears to defy logic. The big-name strikers rarely score the most goals, and that is largely down to maths. The maximum number of games any one team can play is seven, which is a very small sample against which to confidently produce a goal expectation. Luck and variance have a huge part to play, so don’t be afraid to think outside the box. You can also change the perspective by backing a player to score the most goals just for their nation. Whatever bet you choose to make take advantage of our great value odds, high limits and the advantage of betting on the World Cup with bitcoin.

About the Author
Mirio Mella

Mirio Mella

Head of Acquisition

Posted on 2018-06-04

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