Top value soccer picks for week two March 2019

Not everything is about Ronaldo's hairy mission for Juventus; even with the second leg of the UEFA Champion’s League round of 16 around the corner, there’s plenty of soccer bitcoin betting value to be found in national tournaments. 

The biggest game across Europe this weekend takes place in London where Arsenal, on the back of a good draw at Tottenham, have the chance to move ahead of Manchester United and into fourth on Sunday. Their match at the Emirates has huge implications for both sides; it is highly unlikely both clubs will make it into next season’s Champions League.

Elsewhere Liverpool’s title challenge could take a further knock against a defensive Burnley side, and in mainland Europe Dortmund will be hoping to bounce back from another damaging result last weekend when they take on lowly Stuttgart.

Arsenal v Manchester United

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has the Midas touch at Man Utd, meaning it’s never wise to bet against them, while Arsenal manager Unai Emery has a habit of overthinking games against fellow Big Six clubs. His more conservative approach at Wembley last weekend certainly worked, but on home turf Arsenal are invariably more expansive.

That should hand the advantage to Solskjaer, who is happy to rely on counter-attacking pace for matches such as this one. Romelu Lukaku and Marcus Rashford can cause trouble in the spaces between Spurs’ three centre-backs, while Tottenham’s laboured central midfield invites United to stay deep and narrow – before piercing through on the break.

Back Man Utd to win at 3.03

Liverpool v Burnley

Liverpool have drawn five of their last seven matches in all competitions largely because they do not have enough creative guile in central midfield and Mohamed Salah is in poor form. This is highly likely to continue this weekend when Burnley, back to their best recently, visit Anfield and defend doggedly.

Burnley’s deep-lying formation will prevent Salah or Sadio Mane from getting in behind, which means another long and frustrating day for Jurgen Klopp’s team. Trent Alexander-Arnold will need to be at his best to create opportunities for the visitors, and facing two lines of four that doesn’t seem a likely prospect.

Back the draw at 7.97

Fiorentina v Lazio

Fiorentina had been in contention for a place in next season’s Europa League before a run of one win in the last four threw that into doubt. There are three teams ahead of them in Serie A all chasing down fifth and sixth, suggesting Fiorentina’s season is set to end with a whimper.

That hands a psychological advantage to Lazio, who are looking to conflict a fifth consecutive home league game without victory on their hosts. Lazio’s form had been equally poor until last weekend, when a 3-0 win in the Rome derby lifted Simone Inzaghi’s side to within one point of sixth. Confidence will be high after beating Roma, making Lazio favourites for this match.

Back Lazio to win at 2.53

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Real Valladolid v Real Madrid

There is no reason whatsoever to think that Valladolid will get something from this match, no matter what happens to Real Madrid in the Champions League in midweek. The hosts are just three points above the drop zone, but more importantly have the second worst home record in La Liga – and have won just once in all competitions since December 9.

Real Madrid, meanwhile, look much sharper now Karim Benzema is back in form and Vinicius Junior is attacking from the left. His directness has replaced some of what Real lost when Cristiano Ronaldo left the club, and the Brazilian should easily get the better of the Valladolid defence.

Back Real Madrid to win at 1.48

Bayern Munich v Wolfsburg

Dortmund’s stuttering form – they’ve won just one of their five Bundesliga matches – has put Bayern Munich level on points with their rivals, meaning this could be the weekend they go back to the top of the table in spite of performing badly throughout the campaign. Niko Kovac has managed to steady the ship of late, masterminding a 5-1 victory away at Borussia Monchengladbach last weekend.

However, Wolfsburg have the second best away record in the division and are undefeated in five. Their fast-paced counter-attacking football is well suited to playing possession teams like Bayern, which is why they should be able to score a couple in Munich.

Back the draw at 6.30

Borussia Dortmund v Stuttgart

Dortmund’s winless run threatens to derail a season that had shown so much promise, but fortunately they have a very good chance of getting back on track with three points against Stuttgart this weekend. Stuttgart have only won once away from home all season in the Bundesliga, and that was back in November.

In fact, the visitors have picked up one point in their six most recent away matches. Dortmund might be struggling for points, but they’re still scoring goals: 11 in the last seven games. Lucien Favre’s side will easily grab a couple of goals here to calm any nerves and pile pressure back onto Bayern.

Back Dortmund to win at 1.36


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About the Author
Thiago Earp

Thiago Earp

Content Manager

Posted on 2019-03-04

What a silly speck of carbon, it thinks it's conscious.

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