Boxing | Manny Pacquiao v Adrien Broner preview

Legend Manny Pacquiao returns to action in Las Vegas this weekend to fight the controversial and outspoken Adrien Broner at welterweight, as the Filipino bids to fight into his 40s. Pacquiao will be fighting for the 70th time, six months after breathing life back into his career with a knockout of the usually durable Lucas Matthysse.

When is the fight?

January 19th starting at 9 PM local time, Sunday 20th at 5 AM UTC / 1 PM in the Philippines.

Two contrasting characters

It’s always hard to predict the outcome of an Adrien Broner fight as you never know how seriously the outspoken Cincinnati fighter will take things. The 29 year-old has been known to have serious issues with his emotional state in the past, resulting in him turning up on fight night unfit and unmotivated.

Broner will be fighting an older Manny Pacquiao, and the Filipino is certainly not at the peak of his powers right now, but the professionalism between the two men outside of the ring will be a key factor when deciding the outcome of the fight.

The weight

Weight has been a key factor when analysing the career of Adrien Broner. When the American was fighting down at lightweight he would simply be too strong and too powerful for the best of the division, but Broner hasn’t been the same fighter since he moved two weight classes to welterweight in 2013.

The 29 year-old is not a natural light-welterweight and welterweight (the weight in which he will fight Pacquiao) is at least one division to far. Broner was a tremendous fighter when he had size advantage over his smaller opponents, and this was displayed in his dismantling of challengers like Antonio De Marco, Jason Litzau, and Gavin Rees at lightweight.

Each of Broner’s three career defeats have been in the welterweight division, which highlights that it is a weight class that will favour Pacquiao. To compare records, both men have boxed Jessie Vargas in recent bouts at welterweight, with Pacquiao recording a resounding point’s victory whilst Broner fought to a draw in an extremely competitive bout.

The odds for Pacquiao v Broner

Manny Pacquiao, at 40 is still a live threat to any elite fighter. His speed, endurance, and experience alone make the Pac Man a justified favourite at odds of 1.33. The Filipino still possesses great ring generalship and provided he hasn’t aged dramatically overnight, then he presents a huge test for Adrien Broner. However, bettors should expect the fight to be quite competitive.

Don't want to bet on the fight winner? See the full range of markets for Manny Pacquiao vs. Adrien Broner

Broner is a counterpuncher who doesn't come forward too much, so Pacquiao will have to be the aggressor in the bout which will increase the probability of a knockout. However, it is difficult seeing an angle where Broner is stopped by Pacquiao. 

Who will win the fight?

Adrien Broner, for all his skill, is not a natural welterweight. The decision to chase the big money fights, up at 147 pounds, has been one of the main factors for why the 29 year-old has lost the vast majority of his big fights.

Broner's biggest weaknesses are slow footwork and staying on the ropes when he is under pressure. Pacquiao throws so many punches, from so many angles, that these tactics will play into the hands of the champion.

‘The Problem’ has lived up to his nickname in recent years and when boxing at elite level, his lifestyle of being arrested for assault, battery, public intoxication, disorderly conduct, speeding and driving without a license, will eventually catch up with him.

Even at 40, with the lure of a second multi-million dollar payday against Floyd Mayweather, Pacquiao will be as hungry as ever, and still possesses tremendous speed, power, and footwork. With hall of fame trainer Freddie Roach also in his corner, who will conjure up the perfect game plan for how to fight Broner, the Filipino should still have enough in the tank to win the fight on points.

Pick: Manny Pacquiao (at 1.33) by decision


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Posted on 2019-01-11

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