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With the string of injuries now hampering depth charts around the nation, this week may well feel like a stop-gap in the NFL.

We’re going to be blessed with rookies and back-ups making their case to grab long-term contracts following the injuries to your Christian McCaffreys, Nick Bosas, Courtland Suttons and Saquon Barkleys.

So where can we look for value?

Prop totals at Cloudbet remain perfectly satisfactory. Let’s take a look.

Week Three - All about the passing

Teddy Bridgewater - QB Carolina Panthers. Under 259.5 Passing Yards (1.83)

Carolina Panthers (+6.5 1.90) @ Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5 1.96)

While there’s a steep learning curve for anyone, running backs probably suffer most as they’re used in pass protections, running plays and passing plays.

But none do more than Christian McCaffrey – and despite being in line now for about 90% of offensive snaps, Mike Davis does not possess the skillset to run all the complex pre-snap checks, nor does he own the quick cuts to offer Bridgewater a checkdown.

This is the lifeblood of the Panthers’ stagnant offense and they’re about to realise how that huge contract CMC signed is actually value for money.

This is without even mentioning the Chargers defense that’s become a force against the pass since the signing of Chris Harris.

This trip to Inglewood is going to reveal some harsh truths for this Carolina team, and they’ll probably realise just how paramount McCaffrey’s health is to them looking even semi-functional.

A.J. Green - WR Cincinnati Bengals. Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (1.84)

Cincinnati Bengals (+4.5 1.92) @ Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5 1.94)

This is an outstanding prop line to go with. Simply put, this Philly secondary is porous at best - and miserable in reality.

While neither Green - who should be the standout offensive player for the Bengals - or the rookie Joe Burrow, hasn’t lit up the stat sheet yet, it’s not for want of trying.

Green received double-digit targets last week and it’s clear the rapport between him and the LSU HOF’er exists. This line should be attractive for that reason alone, but also because Green possesses elite straight-line speed and the Eagles play a lot of man coverage.

One play could land this total, and that’s always a welcome possibility with these prop lines.

James Washington - WR Pittsburgh Steelers. Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (1.81)

Houston Texans (+4 1.95) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-4 1.90)

So far, this Houston defense has coughed up 77 points through two games. While everyone appears to be getting in on the act as far as yardage is concerned, there’s one trend to focus on.

The Texans play a set cornerback alignment; meaning their right-side corner does not follow the primary receiver. If your best receiver changes which side he lines up on, then that cornerback will not follow him.

So far, Houston have given up the most yardage to ‘X’ receivers, or the receiver on the touchline closest to the quarterback's throwing arm. It was Sammy Watkins in Week One and Marquise Brown in Week Two.

Both quarterbacks spread the ball around heavily, totalling 16 different players with a reception. Washington should be the go-to for Pittsburgh this week as JuJu is on the injury report and Diontae Johnson is almost exclusively in the weakside slot.

All Cloudbet odds are correct at the time of writing but subject to change.

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Sep 25, 2020

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